NPP Flagbearer Race: The case of 2 polls, 2 frontrunners and 2 no-hopers

Barely a week after Global InfoAnalytics released its findings in a survey on the New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential race, and predicted an almost hard-fought win for Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, two other institutions have jointly issued the outcome of their survey, confirming Bawumia as a favorite.

The Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI), UK, and The Outcomes International, Ghana, also claim their survey puts Bawumia in a more comfortable lead.

It seems who wins the race is settled then, at least for those who favor Dr. Bawumia’s candidacy, but the same competition cannot be expected in the camp of the unyielding Kennedy Agyapong, whose ‘showdown’ promise is very much alive.

Credit: Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI), UK & The Outcomes International, Ghana

With only 7.3% of the 5,641 respondents undecided as to who to vote for in the poll by C-SADI and The Outcomes International, Ghana, the duo of Dr. Owusu Afriyie Akoto (1.1%) and Francis Addai-Nimoh (0.4%) are virtually out of the reckoning.

The point of departure, for the two polls, therefore, is by what margin victory or failure will come for all the candidates.

The joint poll by C-SADI, UK, and The Outcomes International, Ghana, predicts an overwhelming 80.8% win for Bawumia.

Unsurprisingly, there has not been much hullabaloo from the camp of Veep Bawumia about this latest poll. His spokespersons, confidant Saturday’s poll is a no-contest race, swore that the prediction of a 43.5% win for their candidate and 23.5% votes for Kennedy by Global InfoAnalytics, which also implied a likely runoff, was not to be taken seriously.

Even in this poll, what potential threat Francis Addai-Nimoh and Owusu Afriyie Akoto pose to the fortunes of the two frontrunners, remained muted, not with their 0.4% and 0.3% respective performances.

Intriguingly, the Global InfoAnalytics poll has as much as 14.0% of the 4,311 respondents not wanting to disclose their preferences, while 18.3% were undecided – a whopping total of 32.3% of votes that can tilt the entire race into interesting conclusions.

Well, we can only wait to see the true length of the frog on D-day Saturday, November 4, or better still, we shall see ‘Charlie’ at the end of the movie.

Click the links below to read or download the two polls.

1. Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI), UK, and The Outcomes International, Ghana

1. Global InfoAnalytics

DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.